| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | 72% | -14.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.6% | 92% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.5% | 89% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 72% | -16.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.5% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| xgboost | 71.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% |
| Boreham Wood | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.64 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.64 | 1.45 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Kidderminster | 3 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Kidderminster | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Solihull | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Solihull | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Everton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Fylde | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Altrincham | 3 - 1 | Boreham Wood |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Boreham Wood | 3 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Boreham Wood | 0 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Altrincham | 1 - 1 | Boreham Wood |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Altrincham | 0 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Boreham Wood | 2 - 0 | Altrincham |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Altrincham | 1 - 1 | Boreham Wood |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Altrincham | 2 - 3 | Boreham Wood |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Boreham Wood | 0 - 1 | Altrincham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 6.50 | 15.4% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.25 | 19.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |