| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.5% | 49% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 80% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.5% | 65% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 41% | +10.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.5% | 24.9% | 36.6% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 27.5% | 37.8% |
| logistic | 40.5% | 27.5% | 31.9% |
| Barnet | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1639 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1639 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Newport County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Barnet | 3 - 1 | York |
| 22 Oct 2024 | York | 3 - 1 | Barnet |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Barnet | 2 - 0 | York |
| 26 Sep 2023 | York | 2 - 4 | Barnet |
| 03 Apr 2023 | York | 1 - 0 | Barnet |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Barnet | 0 - 5 | York |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |