| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 61% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.4% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1647 | 1640 |
| Surface Elo | 1647 | 1640 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 02 Mar 2026 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |