| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 66% | -14.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.7% | 32.7% |
| xgboost | 66.1% | 33.1% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.75 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 May | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 6 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 6 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 3 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Florida Panthers | 1 - 8 | L |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 1 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 0 - 4 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 09 Oct 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 5 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 10 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.74 | 36.5% | 10 Oct 20:20 |