| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.0% | 93% | -22.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.9% | 66.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Noah Schachter | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 232 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Feb | H | Olaf Pieczkowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Aug | A | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Alan Magadan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | H | Oliver Okonkwo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thanh Minh Truong | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.07 | 93.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.00 | 14.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |