| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.8% | 78% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.7% | 69.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 17.5% | 82.5% |
| logistic | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1639 | 1783 |
| Surface Elo | 1639 | 1783 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jacob Fearnley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Martin Landaluce | 3 - 2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 1 - 0 | Jacob Fearnley |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |