| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.0% | 49% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.2% | 78% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.4% | 66% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 44% | +14.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.8% | 27.7% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 25.1% | 27.6% | 47.4% |
| logistic | 28.0% | 29.0% | 43.0% |
| Oxford | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Bradford | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wigan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Wigan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Notts County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Notts County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Doncaster | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Doncaster | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bromley | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |