| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.8% | 48% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 77% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.8% | 65% | -1.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 45% | +5.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.8% | 27.1% | 36.1% |
| xgboost | 50.9% | 25.8% | 23.3% |
| logistic | 52.2% | 26.4% | 21.3% |
| Fulham | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1688 | 1678 |
| Surface Elo | 1688 | 1678 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Crystal Palace | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Coventry | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Everton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Everton | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Aston Villa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 May 2026 | Fulham | 2 - 0 | Newcastle |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 2 - 1 | Fulham |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | Fulham |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Fulham | 3 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Fulham | 0 - 1 | Newcastle |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Newcastle | 3 - 0 | Fulham |
| 15 Jan 2023 | Newcastle | 1 - 0 | Fulham |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Fulham | 1 - 4 | Newcastle |
| 23 May 2021 | Fulham | 0 - 2 | Newcastle |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Newcastle | 1 - 1 | Fulham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.61 | 27.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |