| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.6% | 47% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 71.6% | 79% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.8% | 64% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 49% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 30.1% | 33.9% | 36.1% |
| logistic | 29.2% | 29.2% | 41.7% |
| Crewe | Bristol Rvs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1491 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1491 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Exeter | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Grimsby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Rotherham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Colchester | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Bristol Rvs | 2 - 1 | Crewe |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Crewe | 1 - 1 | Bristol Rvs |
| 01 May 2021 | Bristol Rvs | 0 - 1 | Crewe |
| 19 Jan 2021 | Crewe | 3 - 2 | Bristol Rvs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |