| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.2% | 60% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.0% | 58.8% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Michele Ribecai | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1668 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1668 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Max Houkes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |