| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 65% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Cameron Norrie | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1879 | 1701 |
| Surface Elo | 1879 | 1701 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Rohan Murali | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Yoshihito Nishioka | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Marat Sharipov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |