OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-04
🎾 Tokyo · Sunday 04 October 2026, 00:26 UTC · finished
Carlos Alcaraz 2.40 1 - 0 2.40 Denis Shapovalov
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
No prediction run for this match yet.
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
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Inputs the models saw
Carlos AlcarazDenis Shapovalov
Elo (pre-match)22751888
Surface Elo20791827
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.40
Form trend-0.60-0.60
Season points per game2.431.63
Season goals for / game1.941.39
Season goals against / game0.711.23
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W0 W · 0 D
Carlos Alcaraz: last 5
03 OctHMatteo Arnaldi2 - 0W
03 OctHMatteo Arnaldi2 - 0W
01 OctHAlex Michelsen2 - 1W
01 OctAAlex Michelsen2 - 1W
08 SepABen Shelton2 - 3L
Denis Shapovalov: last 5
03 OctHAlejandro Tabilo2 - 1W
03 OctAAlejandro Tabilo2 - 1W
01 OctHSho Shimabukuro2 - 0W
01 OctHSho Shimabukuro2 - 0W
28 SepAHubert Hurkacz1 - 2L
Head to head
03 Mar 2025Carlos Alcaraz2 - 0Denis Shapovalov
29 May 2023Carlos Alcaraz3 - 0Denis Shapovalov
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC