| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.9% | 37% | +5.4% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 77% | -2.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.8% | 51% | +3.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 51% | +3.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.9% | 29.7% | 32.5% |
| xgboost | 41.3% | 22.5% | 36.2% |
| logistic | 35.9% | 30.9% | 33.2% |
| Colchester | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1445 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1445 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 5 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Northampton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Northampton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Exeter City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Oct | H | Salford | 2 - 4 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Oldham | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Oldham | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Swindon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Colchester | 1 - 1 | Walsall |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Walsall | 0 - 2 | Colchester |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Colchester | 2 - 1 | Walsall |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Walsall | 4 - 0 | Colchester |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Colchester | 1 - 1 | Walsall |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Walsall | 1 - 0 | Colchester |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Colchester | 0 - 0 | Walsall |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Walsall | 1 - 1 | Colchester |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Colchester | 2 - 2 | Walsall |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Walsall | 3 - 0 | Colchester |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |