| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.5% | 46% | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 76% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.1% | 63% | +0.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 56% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.7% | 26.5% | 46.8% |
| xgboost | 26.4% | 20.6% | 52.9% |
| logistic | 28.4% | 26.1% | 45.5% |
| Fiorentina | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1632 | 1765 |
| Surface Elo | 1632 | 1765 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 1.70 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.30 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Sassuolo | 4 - 2 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Sassuolo | 4 - 2 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Atalanta | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Oct | H | Atalanta | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Inter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Napoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Napoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Juventus | 0 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Juventus |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Fiorentina | 3 - 0 | Juventus |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Juventus | 2 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 07 Apr 2024 | Juventus | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 05 Nov 2023 | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Juventus |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Juventus | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Juventus |
| 21 May 2022 | Fiorentina | 2 - 0 | Juventus |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Juventus | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 08 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 08 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Nov 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.22 | 45.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.58 | 27.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.44 | 29.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |