| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.6% | 78% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 19.5% | 80.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.8% | 75.2% |
| logistic | 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Gauthier Onclin | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1825 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1825 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |