| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.1% | 65% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Rebecca Sramkova | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1570 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1570 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 50 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | A | Janice Tjen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Rebecca Sramkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Taylor Townsend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | Rebecca Sramkova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 20 Sep 06:16 |