| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 49% | +6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.1% | 74.9% |
| logistic | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Alafia Ayeni | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1308 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1308 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 28 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Franco Agamenone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Zhukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 21 Sep 06:15 |