| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.5% | 74% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.6% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Flavio Cobolli | Stan Wawrinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1880 | 1683 |
| Surface Elo | 1880 | 1683 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Stan Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 0 | Stan Wawrinka |
| 02 Oct 2024 | Flavio Cobolli | 2 - 1 | Stan Wawrinka |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |