| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.8% | 72% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.3% | 74.7% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Joshua Sheehy | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1494 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1494 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 244 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Feb | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Aug | H | Nicolas Mejia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Luca Potenza | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | H | Mathys Erhard | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 04 Oct 06:15 |