OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Aldershot 0.60 0 - 1 0.80 Wealdstone
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.6%44%+4.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 78.1%80%-1.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.2%60%+1.3%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.5%63%-1.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 59.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.9%23.1%30.0%
xgboost48.1%22.3%29.6%
logistic43.4%25.4%31.2%
Inputs the models saw
AldershotWealdstone
Elo (pre-match)13731362
Surface Elo13731362
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.80
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game0.600.80
Season goals for / game1.601.40
Season goals against / game2.002.20
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Aldershot: last 5
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
Wealdstone: last 5
20 OctHNottingham Forest1 - 0W
10 OctHYeovil0 - 6L
10 OctHYeovil0 - 6L
03 OctABarrow1 - 2L
03 OctABarrow1 - 2L
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Wealdstone3 - 0Aldershot
30 Dec 2025Aldershot4 - 1Wealdstone
25 Mar 2025Wealdstone1 - 3Aldershot
09 Nov 2024Aldershot0 - 2Wealdstone
30 Jan 2024Wealdstone3 - 3Aldershot
26 Aug 2023Aldershot3 - 1Wealdstone
18 Apr 2023Wealdstone0 - 1Aldershot
01 Oct 2022Aldershot1 - 2Wealdstone
15 May 2022Aldershot1 - 3Wealdstone
18 Sep 2021Wealdstone2 - 2Aldershot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.8535.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC