OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Hull 0.60 1 - 1 1.20 Brentford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 42.4%58%-15.7%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.2%78%-4.3%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 54.4%77%-22.4%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.7%45%+7.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.1%28.9%33.0%
xgboost32.0%26.4%41.6%
logistic32.2%28.9%38.9%
Inputs the models saw
HullBrentford
Elo (pre-match)15941737
Surface Elo15941737
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend0.200.20
Season points per game1.291.43
Season goals for / game1.141.86
Season goals against / game1.001.14
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 2 D
Hull: last 5
17 OctAFulham0 - 1L
17 OctAFulham0 - 1L
11 OctHEverton2 - 2D
11 OctHEverton2 - 2D
19 SepANewcastle1 - 2L
Brentford: last 5
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
17 OctHLiverpool1 - 2L
10 OctAAston Villa2 - 2D
10 OctAAston Villa2 - 2D
10 OctHDerby4 - 2W
Head to head
01 Feb 2020Hull1 - 5Brentford
17 Aug 2019Brentford1 - 1Hull
23 Feb 2019Brentford5 - 1Hull
15 Dec 2018Hull2 - 0Brentford
06 May 2018Brentford1 - 1Hull
09 Dec 2017Hull3 - 2Brentford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6759.9%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw4.1024.4%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home4.7521.1%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%25 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away1.7357.8%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2223.7%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.9020.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6859.5%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC