OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🇮🇹 Serie A · Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Parma 0.80 1 - 2 2.40 Bologna
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.5%55%-6.8%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 76.1%83%-6.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 65.8%75%-9.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.2%56%-5.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 52.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.5%28.5%48.0%
xgboost26.0%26.3%47.7%
logistic25.1%28.4%46.5%
Inputs the models saw
ParmaBologna
Elo (pre-match)16001705
Surface Elo16001705
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.40
Form trend-0.70-0.30
Season points per game0.801.40
Season goals for / game0.801.40
Season goals against / game1.501.30
Rest days47
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 4 D
Parma: last 5
02 NovAAtalanta3 - 0W
28 OctHUdinese0 - 0D
28 OctHUdinese0 - 0D
24 OctALazio1 - 2L
24 OctALazio1 - 2L
Bologna: last 5
31 OctHMonza2 - 1W
31 OctHMonza2 - 1W
28 OctAAc Milan4 - 2W
28 OctAAc Milan4 - 2W
24 OctACagliari2 - 0W
Head to head
08 Feb 2026Bologna0 - 1Parma
02 Nov 2025Parma1 - 3Bologna
22 Feb 2025Parma2 - 0Bologna
06 Oct 2024Bologna0 - 0Parma
07 Feb 2021Parma0 - 3Bologna
28 Sep 2020Bologna4 - 1Parma
12 Jul 2020Parma2 - 2Bologna
24 Nov 2019Bologna2 - 2Parma
13 May 2019Bologna4 - 1Parma
22 Dec 2018Parma0 - 0Bologna
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.6759.9%07 Nov 17:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%07 Nov 17:00
Bet3651X2home5.7517.4%07 Nov 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.2045.5%07 Nov 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6759.9%07 Nov 17:00
SportyBet1X2away1.7955.9%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8226.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.9920.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9950.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8653.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC