| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.1% | 55% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.5% | 41.5% |
| xgboost | 44.5% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Minnesota Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.59 | 3.32 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.12 | 2.26 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 5 - 4 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 5 - 2 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | San Jose Sharks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Washington Capitals | 5 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 3 - 4 | L |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 3 | Minnesota Wild |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Montréal Canadiens | 0 - 4 | Minnesota Wild |
| 15 Nov 2024 | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 0 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Nov 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 10 Nov 21:20 |