| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.5% | 68% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.3% | 31.6% |
| logistic | 76.2% | 23.8% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Pierre Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1738 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1738 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.64 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 4 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Mika Brunold | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Milos Karol | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |