| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 66% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.4% | 32.6% |
| xgboost | 48.6% | 49.3% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Dallas Stars | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.56 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 2.89 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 5 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 1 - 5 | L |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 0 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 3 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 3 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| 18 May 2025 | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 16 May 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 0 | Dallas Stars |
| 14 May 2025 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 1 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 11 May 2025 | Dallas Stars | 5 - 2 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 10 May 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 0 | Dallas Stars |
| 08 May 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 22 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.72 | 36.8% | 22 Oct 18:20 |