| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.9% | 74% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.1% | 75.8% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Lorenzo Angelini | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Vladyslav Orlov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Petros Tsitsipas | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alexandre Aubriot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Matteo Gribaldo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Alexandre Aubriot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Jakub Filip | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Liam Gavrielides | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Maxence Rivet | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |