| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 82.3% | 80% | +2.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.6% | 80.3% |
| logistic | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Karim Bennani | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1674 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1674 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 25 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Dorian Tremblay | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Skvortcov, Pavel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Tanguy Genier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jun | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | A | Federico Bondioli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |