| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 26% | +25.9% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 89% | -12.3% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.1% | 33% | +32.5% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% | no line | abandoned | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.1% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.9% | 27.1% | 43.0% |
| xgboost | 37.0% | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| logistic | 26.0% | 25.3% | 48.7% |
| Brescia | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 497 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 4 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Alcione Milano | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Venezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | H | Reggiana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May | A | Modena | 2 - 2 | D |
| 04 May | H | Juve Stabia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Lazio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Brescia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 4 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Frosinone | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Ac Milan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Venezia | 1 - 1 | Brescia |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Venezia | 2 - 0 | Brescia |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Brescia | 0 - 0 | Venezia |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Venezia | 1 - 1 | Brescia |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Brescia | 1 - 1 | Venezia |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Venezia | 0 - 1 | Brescia |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Brescia | 2 - 2 | Venezia |
| 05 Apr 2019 | Brescia | 2 - 0 | Venezia |
| 24 Nov 2018 | Venezia | 2 - 1 | Brescia |
| 08 Apr 2018 | Venezia | 1 - 2 | Brescia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 23 Sep 06:15 |