| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 63% | -7.1% | |
| DC | Draw or away | 81.4% | 84% | -2.8% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 74.1% | 79% | -5.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 40% | +14.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.4% | 24.3% | 52.3% |
| xgboost | 19.1% | 22.7% | 58.3% |
| logistic | 16.0% | 25.4% | 58.6% |
| Levante | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1608 | 1787 |
| Surface Elo | 1608 | 1787 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Sociedad | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Crevillente Deportivo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Real Jaen CF | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Albacete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | La Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Levante | 0 - 0 | Atlético Madrid |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Atlético Madrid | 3 - 1 | Levante |
| 16 Feb 2022 | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 1 | Levante |
| 28 Oct 2021 | Levante | 2 - 2 | Atlético Madrid |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 2 | Levante |
| 17 Feb 2021 | Levante | 1 - 1 | Atlético Madrid |
| 23 Jun 2020 | Levante | 0 - 1 | Atlético Madrid |
| 04 Jan 2020 | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 1 | Levante |
| 18 May 2019 | Levante | 2 - 2 | Atlético Madrid |
| 13 Jan 2019 | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 0 | Levante |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.79 | 20.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.63 | 17.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |