| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 81% | -14.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.3% | 78.6% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.54 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.46 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Souza, Andre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Bautista De La Pena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 1 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 0 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |