| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 75% | -16.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| logistic | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Kirill Kivattsev | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 15 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Yanaki Milev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Apr | H | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Aleksandre Bakshi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 06 Oct 06:15 |