| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.2% | 57% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 82% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.7% | 75% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 68% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.3% | 21.5% | 26.2% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 27.1% | 28.0% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 27.8% | 28.1% |
| Magdeburg | Karlsruhe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hannover | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Hannover | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Darmstadt | 4 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | St Pauli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Nurnberg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Cottbus | 0 - 3 | L |
| 04 Sep | A | Hannover | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Magdeburg | 1 - 3 | Karlsruhe |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Karlsruhe | 1 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Karlsruhe | 3 - 1 | Magdeburg |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Magdeburg | 2 - 2 | Karlsruhe |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Karlsruhe | 7 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | Karlsruhe |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | Karlsruhe |
| 24 Jul 2022 | Karlsruhe | 2 - 3 | Magdeburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 24 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 24 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 24 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 24 Oct 12:00 |