| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 62% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.0% | 33.2% |
| xgboost | 73.5% | 25.0% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Dallas Stars | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1585 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1585 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 3.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Los Angeles Kings | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 6 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 1 | W |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Boston Bruins | 6 - 3 | Dallas Stars |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Dallas Stars | 6 - 2 | Boston Bruins |
| 15 Nov 2024 | Dallas Stars | 7 - 2 | Boston Bruins |
| 24 Oct 2024 | Boston Bruins | 2 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 20 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 20 Oct 19:20 |