OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-08

NFL · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished

Miami Dolphins – 9 - 19 – Detroit Lions

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	65.7%	no line		✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	34.3%	65.7%

Inputs the models saw

	Miami Dolphins	Detroit Lions
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.34
form diff	-0.62
rest diff	-0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	-1.05
opponent strength diff	0.03
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00

Miami Dolphins: last 5

01 Nov	H	New England Patriots	19 - 24	L
25 Oct	A	New York Jets	28 - 25	W
11 Oct	H	Cincinnati Bengals	24 - 31	L
04 Oct	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 15	L
27 Sep	H	Kansas City Chiefs	10 - 24	L

Detroit Lions: last 5

01 Nov	H	Minnesota Vikings	19 - 15	W
25 Oct	H	Green Bay Packers	20 - 17	W
11 Oct	A	Arizona Cardinals	45 - 21	W
05 Oct	A	Carolina Panthers	26 - 32	L
27 Sep	H	New York Jets	31 - 24	W

Head to head

30 Oct 2022	Detroit Lions	27 - 31	Miami Dolphins
21 Oct 2018	Miami Dolphins	21 - 32	Detroit Lions
09 Nov 2014	Detroit Lions	20 - 16	Miami Dolphins
26 Dec 2010	Miami Dolphins	27 - 34	Detroit Lions
23 Nov 2006	Detroit Lions	10 - 27	Miami Dolphins
08 Sep 2002	Miami Dolphins	49 - 21	Detroit Lions
05 Nov 2000	Detroit Lions	8 - 23	Miami Dolphins

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	3.69	27.1%	08 Nov 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.32	75.8%	08 Nov 14:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC