| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.4% | 88% | -8.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 86.6% | 13.4% |
| logistic | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Filip Misolic | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1677 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1677 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 84 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Henri Squire | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 3 | L |
| 16 Feb | H | Martin Landaluce | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Tolev, Aleksandar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Andrej Nedic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Denis Yevseyev | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |