| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.6% | 84% | -35.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 93% | -16.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.3% | 98% | -37.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 71% | -14.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.7% | 24.6% | 46.7% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 21.3% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 30.4% | 32.9% |
| Spartans | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1438 | 1624 |
| Surface Elo | 1438 | 1624 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Forfar | 5 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Stirling | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Elgin | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Motherwell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Motherwell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | St Johnstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.50 | 8.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.50 | 15.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |