OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Serie B · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:15 UTC · finished
Mantova 2.20 0 - 2 2.60 Palermo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.9%47%-0.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.8%78%-4.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.1%65%-4.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.8%58%+2.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.8%27.1%43.1%
xgboost30.4%31.5%38.1%
logistic29.4%28.5%42.1%
Inputs the models saw
MantovaPalermo
Elo (pre-match)15001615
Surface Elo15001615
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.60
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game2.332.67
Season goals for / game2.172.33
Season goals against / game1.001.17
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 3 D
Mantova: last 5
11 OctACatanzaro3 - 1W
11 OctACatanzaro3 - 1W
20 SepHPisa2 - 2D
20 SepHPisa2 - 2D
13 SepHSampdoria2 - 0W
Palermo: last 5
10 OctAEmpoli4 - 2W
10 OctAEmpoli4 - 2W
19 SepHPadova2 - 1W
19 SepHPadova2 - 1W
19 SepHBari2 - 2D
Head to head
04 Mar 2026Palermo2 - 1Mantova
11 Jan 2026Mantova1 - 1Palermo
16 Feb 2025Palermo2 - 2Mantova
30 Oct 2024Mantova0 - 0Palermo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.1047.6%17 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%17 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2home3.2031.2%17 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%17 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%17 Oct 16:15
SportyBet1X2away2.1546.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2530.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7258.1%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC