| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 64% | -7.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Santiago De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Goncalves, Joao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Mateus Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |