| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.2% | 51% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.6% | 79% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.9% | 69% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 51% | +8.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.2% | 28.8% | 22.0% |
| xgboost | 49.5% | 28.4% | 22.0% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 27.8% | 24.9% |
| Oxford | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Notts County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Notts County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Exeter | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Reading | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Reading | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Stevenage | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stevenage | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Blackpool | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Oxford | 4 - 2 | Wigan |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Wigan | 2 - 0 | Oxford |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Wigan | 1 - 1 | Oxford |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Oxford | 2 - 3 | Wigan |
| 14 Feb 2021 | Oxford | 2 - 1 | Wigan |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Wigan | 1 - 2 | Oxford |
| 17 Apr 2018 | Wigan | 1 - 0 | Oxford |
| 23 Dec 2017 | Oxford | 0 - 7 | Wigan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |