OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Kifisia 1.40 1 - 2 1.40 Aris
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.0%43%+4.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.9%76%-1.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.2%60%+1.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.5%49%+5.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson28.0%31.8%40.2%
xgboost33.7%22.9%43.3%
logistic24.4%28.2%47.4%
Inputs the models saw
KifisiaAris
Elo (pre-match)15011628
Surface Elo15011628
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend-0.90-0.10
Season points per game1.331.67
Season goals for / game1.001.33
Season goals against / game1.172.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 2 D
Kifisia: last 5
11 OctHPanaitolikos Agrinio2 - 0W
11 OctHPanetolikos2 - 0W
19 SepAAtromitos2 - 1W
19 SepAAtromitos2 - 1W
13 SepHLevadeiakos0 - 0D
Aris: last 5
11 OctHVolos NPS3 - 2W
11 OctHVolos NFC3 - 2W
19 SepHIraklis0 - 0D
19 SepHIraklis0 - 0D
13 SepAPAOK0 - 2L
Head to head
22 Feb 2026Aris1 - 1Kifisia
20 Sep 2025Kifisia0 - 1Aris
27 Jan 2024Kifisia0 - 1Aris
01 Oct 2023Aris1 - 1Kifisia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%18 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%18 Oct 18:00
Bet3651X2home3.0033.3%18 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%18 Oct 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8554.0%18 Oct 18:00
SportyBet1X2away2.3542.5%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1032.3%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7656.8%18 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC