| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.8% | 70% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.9% | 26.0% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Keegan Smith | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1613 | 1547 |
| Surface Elo | 1613 | 1547 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Max Purcell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Fajing Sun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Max Purcell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Qian Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Qian Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | Keegan Smith |
| 25 Apr 2022 | Fajing Sun | 0 - 2 | Keegan Smith |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |