| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.5% | 67% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 84.8% | 87% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 79.4% | 83% | -3.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 73% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 18.1% | 21.7% | 60.2% |
| xgboost | 14.8% | 19.9% | 65.3% |
| logistic | 13.0% | 22.7% | 64.3% |
| Cambuur | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1370 | 1655 |
| Surface Elo | 1370 | 1655 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.38 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Zwolle | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Zwolle | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nijmegen | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | VVV Venlo | 4 - 4 | D |
| 15 Oct | H | Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Feyenoord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Feyenoord | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | FC Den Bosch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Feb 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | Cambuur |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Cambuur | 0 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 22 Jan 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 - 0 | Cambuur |
| 03 Oct 2021 | Cambuur | 1 - 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 18 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 18 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 6.25 | 16.0% | 18 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 18 Oct 13:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.88 | 34.7% | 18 Oct 13:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.05 | 19.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.62 | 17.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.39 | 71.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |