| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 49% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 80% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.6% | 66% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 46% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.5% | 24.8% | 26.7% |
| xgboost | 41.1% | 29.1% | 29.8% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| Scunthorpe | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Boreham Wood | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Harrogate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Altrincham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Woking | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Scunthorpe | 0 - 0 | Hartlepool |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | Scunthorpe |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Scunthorpe | 1 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Hartlepool | 0 - 0 | Scunthorpe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |