| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.3% | 66% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.2% | 69.7% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Mert Alkaya | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1647 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1647 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Andre Ilagan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Matthew Dellavedova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Max Basing | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Khumoyun Sultanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Khumoyun Sultanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Yosuke Watanuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Marat Sharipov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 1 | Mert Alkaya |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |