| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.1% | 55% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.0% | 35.8% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 52.1% |
| logistic | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Ottawa Senators | New York Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.82 | 3.08 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.73 | 2.42 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 6 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 7 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 5 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 1 - 7 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 1 | W |
| 23 Mar 2026 | New York Rangers | 1 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 15 Jan 2026 | New York Rangers | 4 - 8 | Ottawa Senators |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 4 | New York Rangers |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 3 | New York Rangers |
| 22 Jan 2025 | New York Rangers | 5 - 0 | Ottawa Senators |
| 01 Nov 2024 | New York Rangers | 2 - 1 | Ottawa Senators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 24 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.09 | 47.8% | 24 Oct 21:20 |