| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.2% | 71% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.6% | 70.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| logistic | 33.8% | 66.2% |
| James Trotter | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Ozan Baris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Young, Gavin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Li Tu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |