| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.2% | 36% | +28.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 86.4% | 64% | +22.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 82.4% | 48% | +34.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 60% | +1.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 13.4% | 20.2% | 66.4% |
| xgboost | 17.3% | 13.8% | 69.0% |
| logistic | 10.4% | 21.4% | 68.1% |
| Albacete | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1787 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1787 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Getafe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Sp Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Valladolid | 0 - 5 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Valladolid | 0 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | La Coruna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Gimnastic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Espanol | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |