OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-14
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Wednesday 14 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · finished
Tommy Paul 1.20 2 - 0 1.80 Zizou Bergs
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 67.2%68%-0.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov56.9%43.1%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost71.0%29.0%
logistic62.7%37.3%
Inputs the models saw
Tommy PaulZizou Bergs
Elo (pre-match)19861844
Surface Elo19861844
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend-0.90-0.90
Season points per game2.002.25
Season goals for / game1.331.75
Season goals against / game0.670.50
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Tommy Paul: last 5
14 OctHZizou Bergs2 - 0W
12 OctHValentin Vacherot2 - 0W
12 OctHValentin Vacherot2 - 0W
10 OctHAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
10 OctAAdolfo Daniel Vallejo2 - 0W
Zizou Bergs: last 5
14 OctATommy Paul0 - 2L
12 OctHCarlos Alcaraz2 - 0W
12 OctACarlos Alcaraz2 - 0W
10 OctAIgnacio Buse2 - 0W
10 OctAIgnacio Buse2 - 0W
Head to head
14 Oct 2026Tommy Paul2 - 0Zizou Bergs
07 Mar 2026Tommy Paul2 - 0Zizou Bergs
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7536.4%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4768.0%13 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC