| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.9% | 72% | -16.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| logistic | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Christian Langmo | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dominik Recek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Goncalo Marques | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 05 Oct 06:15 |