| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 62% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 51.3% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1644 | 1682 |
| Surface Elo | 1644 | 1682 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.12 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.65 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Nicolas Jarry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Alan Magadan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |